FA Siauliai 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.54
Over 2.5
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.98/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.58
+30% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
3W-2D-0L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
27.05.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
07.05.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITK
08.04.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
1-0
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai squeezed past FK Dainava Alytus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FA Siauliai as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 59% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 41%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for FA Siauliai and 0.40 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

FA Siauliai 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 42%, draw 32%, FK Dainava Alytus 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA Siauliai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
20 Apr 2024
15:00 Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva Analysis →