Atlante 1-0 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Aug 2024

Atlante
1-0 HT 1-0
Venados
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Atlante vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlante v Venados — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.88/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.79
+4% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Atlante vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Venados
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
22.09.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
09.03.2023 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
23.09.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
09.01.2022 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
05.12.2021 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante nicked a narrow win over Venados 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atlante and 0.50 for Venados.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Venados?

Atlante 1-0 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atlante 54%, draw 27%, Venados 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ BTTS No
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