Venados 1-0 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Feb 2024

Venados
1-0 HT 1-0
Atlante
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Venados vs Atlante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-8.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venados v Atlante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.14/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.85
-10% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.7

Venados vs Atlante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atlante
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
09.03.2023 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
23.09.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
09.01.2022 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
05.12.2021 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
03.12.2021 Venados Venados 0-2 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados nicked a narrow win over Atlante 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Venados made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Venados and 1.00 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Venados vs Atlante?

Venados 1-0 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Venados 39%, draw 33%, Atlante 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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