Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.76
No
60%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.2pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 25%
+21% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
2.55/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.59
+56% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
21.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
03.02.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
22.07.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
27.01.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-3 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
25.11.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
19.08.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-2 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg and Correcaminos UAT shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leones Negros Udeg at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.67 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 55%, draw 20%, Correcaminos UAT 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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