Floriana 3-3 Melita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.23
Over 2.5
40%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.5pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.2pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Melita EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+17% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
3-3
AWAY Melita
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Melita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana and Melita couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Floriana carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Floriana had 67% of the ball to Melita's 33%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Melita?

Floriana 3-3 Melita in the Malta - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Melita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Floriana 56%, draw 27%, Melita 17%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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