Naxxar Lions 1-2 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.82
Over 2.5
36%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-3.1pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.4pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
51%
+12.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
49%
-12.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.1pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.87/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.50
+117% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +84%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
28.10.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
1-2
AWAY Hibernians FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC nicked a narrow win over Naxxar Lions 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 35% / 39% — and on the day Hibernians FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 53% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 47%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naxxar Lions had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naxxar Lions and 0.00 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Hibernians FC?

Naxxar Lions 1-2 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 26%, draw 35%, Hibernians FC 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernians FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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