17/08/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Jerv vs Brattvag IL Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.7
— our 21% vs market 10.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
29%
Draw
21%
25%
Away Win
21%
53%
Under 2.5
31%
47%
Over 2.5
69%
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
46%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jerv v Brattvag IL — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jerv
EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Brattvag IL
EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+7%
1.81/0.81
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.30/1.60
-19%
/
+50%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+3%
/
+29%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
394 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.2
Jerv vs Brattvag IL Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Jerv
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Brattvag IL
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Jerv vs Brattvag IL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brattvag IL saw off Jerv 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Jerv at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Jerv vs Brattvag IL?
Jerv 1-3 Brattvag IL in the Norway - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jerv vs Brattvag IL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jerv 46%, draw 29%, Brattvag IL 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jerv), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Jerv)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
17 Aug 2024