Ullensaker / Kisa 3-1 Gjovik-Lyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
16.1
2-3 Goals
29%
3.23
4-5 Goals
34%
2.31
6+ Goals
17%
2.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.5pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.1pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
3.14/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/3.08
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
498 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2024 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 1-4 HT 0-1 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
24.09.2023 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 1-1 HT 1-0 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn NOR3
04.06.2023 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 1-3 HT 1-1 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
21.08.2022 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 6-2 HT 4-1 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn NOR3
07.05.2022 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 4-0 HT 2-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
02.05.2019 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 2-3 HT 0-1 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOK
POST-MATCH Ullensaker / Kisa vs Gjovik-Lyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ullensaker / Kisa beat Gjovik-Lyn 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ullensaker / Kisa as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ullensaker / Kisa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Ullensaker / Kisa and 1.83 for Gjovik-Lyn.

What was the final score of Ullensaker / Kisa vs Gjovik-Lyn?

Ullensaker / Kisa 3-1 Gjovik-Lyn in the Norway - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullensaker / Kisa vs Gjovik-Lyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullensaker / Kisa win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Ullensaker / Kisa 68%, draw 17%, Gjovik-Lyn 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ullensaker / Kisa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ullensaker / Kisa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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