Asker 0-1 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2024

Asker
0-1 HT 0-1
Baerum
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
9.78
2-3 Goals
31%
2.52
4-5 Goals
36%
2.32
6+ Goals
16%
3.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.6pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asker EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asker
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Baerum
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Baerum Baerum 1-4 HT 1-2 Asker Asker NOR4
24.05.2023 Asker Asker 0-2 HT 0-0 Baerum Baerum NOK
31.07.2022 Baerum Baerum 2-3 HT 1-0 Asker Asker NOR3
14.05.2022 Asker Asker 0-2 HT 0-1 Baerum Baerum NOR3
02.10.2021 Asker Asker 3-0 HT 2-0 Baerum Baerum NOR3
04.08.2021 Baerum Baerum 1-2 HT 1-1 Asker Asker NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asker
0-1
AWAY Baerum
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asker vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum nicked a narrow win over Asker 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Asker at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asker had 60% of the ball to Baerum's 40%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asker had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Asker and 1.33 for Baerum.

What was the final score of Asker vs Baerum?

Asker 0-1 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asker vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asker win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Asker 53%, draw 23%, Baerum 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asker) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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