Baerum 1-4 Asker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 May 2024

Baerum
1-4 HT 1-2
Asker
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.05
2-3 Goals
32%
2.2
4-5 Goals
31%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
4.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.5pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asker EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +104%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Asker
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2023 Asker Asker 0-2 HT 0-0 Baerum Baerum NOK
31.07.2022 Baerum Baerum 2-3 HT 1-0 Asker Asker NOR3
14.05.2022 Asker Asker 0-2 HT 0-1 Baerum Baerum NOR3
02.10.2021 Asker Asker 3-0 HT 2-0 Baerum Baerum NOR3
04.08.2021 Baerum Baerum 1-2 HT 1-1 Asker Asker NOR3
25.07.2020 Asker Asker 2-1 HT 2-0 Baerum Baerum NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
1-4
AWAY Asker
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Asker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asker swept aside Baerum 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Asker made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Baerum had 42% of the ball to Asker's 58%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asker led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baerum and 1.67 for Asker.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Asker?

Baerum 1-4 Asker in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Asker?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baerum 42%, draw 21%, Asker 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baerum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
20 May 2024
15:00 Skjetten vs IF Ready Analysis →
15:00 Skedsmo vs Gjellerasen Analysis →
16:00 Asane II vs Haugesund II Analysis →
16:00 Melhus vs Byasen Analysis →
16:00 Loddefjord vs Askoy Analysis →
16:00 Lokomotiv Oslo vs SK Traeff Analysis →