Melbourne City II 2-2 North Geelong Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.1pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.6pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne City II vs North Geelong Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II and North Geelong Warriors shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melbourne City II at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Melbourne City II vs North Geelong Warriors?

Melbourne City II 2-2 North Geelong Warriors in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City II vs North Geelong Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City II 56%, draw 16%, North Geelong Warriors 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne City II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NPL2 More Australia - Victoria NPL 2
17 Aug 2024
08:00 Werribee City vs Eastern Lions Analysis →
08:00 Brunswick City vs Bentleigh Greens Analysis →
08:00 Northcote City vs Bulleen Lions Analysis →
08:00 Sunshine Georgies vs Kingston City Analysis →
08:00 Melbourne Victory U23 vs Western United II Analysis →
08:00 Langwarrin vs Preston Analysis →