Melbourne Victory U23 2-4 Western United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.8pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United II EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory U23 vs Western United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United II saw off Melbourne Victory U23 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Western United II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory U23 vs Western United II?

Melbourne Victory U23 2-4 Western United II in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory U23 vs Western United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory U23 42%, draw 21%, Western United II 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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