Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 32% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 19%
-70% / -70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
0.48/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.78
-75% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-2 HT 0-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
16.09.2023 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz squeezed past Zaglebie Lubin II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 49% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 51%, shots finished 20-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.50 for Zaglebie Lubin II.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 57%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin II 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
17 Aug 2024
13:00 KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Hutnik Krakow Analysis →
18:00 Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Resovia Rzeszow Analysis →
21:15 Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Polonia Bytom Analysis →