Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-4 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.18/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.03
-16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-0 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
08.03.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
26.08.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 4-2 HT 1-1 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
2-4
AWAY Polonia Bytom
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom beat Jastrzebie Zdroj 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 48% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 52%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.33 for Polonia Bytom.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Polonia Bytom?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-4 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 34%, draw 24%, Polonia Bytom 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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