FCSB 0-1 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.03
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
6W-0D-0L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-3 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
20.08.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
30.01.2021 FCSB FCSB 3-1 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.12.2019 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
25.11.2018 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-2 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.08.2018 FCSB FCSB 4-0 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
0-1
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.76 xG 0.64
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
453 Passes 191
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 8
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FCSB vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSMS Iaşi squeezed past FCSB 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FCSB at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FCSB had 67% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 33%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.76 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FCSB and 0.83 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of FCSB vs CSMS Iaşi?

FCSB 0-1 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FCSB 55%, draw 24%, CSMS Iaşi 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Over 2.5
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