Botosani 1-0 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.34/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.98
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
1W-2D-3L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.87 xG 0.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
287 Passes 234
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
12.02.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
23.09.2023 Botosani Botosani 2-2 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
14.04.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-2 HT 0-2 Botosani Botosani ROM
11.02.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-1 HT 3-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
09.09.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-2 HT 0-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
1-0
AWAY UTA Arad
1.71 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
299 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botosani vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani edged past UTA Arad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botosani as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Botosani had 49% of the ball to UTA Arad's 51%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.71 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Botosani's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTA Arad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botosani and 1.67 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Botosani vs UTA Arad?

Botosani 1-0 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botosani win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botosani 41%, draw 28%, UTA Arad 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botosani), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botosani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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