NS Drava 2-3 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NS Drava EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 60%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.25/3.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.80
-74% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NS Drava
2-3
AWAY Aluminij
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NS Drava vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij edged past NS Drava 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, NS Drava had 37% of the ball to Aluminij's 63%, shots finished 6-19.

What was the final score of NS Drava vs Aluminij?

NS Drava 2-3 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NS Drava vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split NS Drava 21%, draw 23%, Aluminij 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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