Bistrica 2-2 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -26%
1.68/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.65
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Ilirija
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 0-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
08.09.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
25.03.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 4-0 HT 2-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
10.09.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 1-2 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
2-2
AWAY Ilirija
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica and Ilirija couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bistrica at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bistrica had 48% of the ball to Ilirija's 52%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bistrica had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Bistrica and 0.25 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Ilirija?

Bistrica 2-2 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 51%, draw 22%, Ilirija 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bistrica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bistrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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