Mura 2-3 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 35% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.36/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.87
+11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
0W-3D-3L
AWAY NK Bravo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
13.03.2024 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 0-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
03.12.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
16.09.2023 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
29.04.2023 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
25.02.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
2-3
AWAY NK Bravo
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mura vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Bravo squeezed past Mura 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; NK Bravo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mura had 54% of the ball to NK Bravo's 46%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Bravo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mura and 1.17 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of Mura vs NK Bravo?

Mura 2-3 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mura 38%, draw 27%, NK Bravo 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
17 Aug 2024
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