Birmingham Legion 0-1 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒03:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-12.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +7%
1.66/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.13
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +59%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.7 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Detroit City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.76 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
373 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-2 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
28.08.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-3 HT 2-3 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
27.05.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
18.08.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-2 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
16.04.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
0-1
AWAY Detroit City
0.23 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
399 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City squeezed past Birmingham Legion 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Detroit City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 57% of the ball to Detroit City's 43%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.23 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Detroit City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.60 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?

Birmingham Legion 0-1 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 36%, draw 30%, Detroit City 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✓ Under 2.5
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