Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Detroit City v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-3
Detroit City
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-2
HT 0-0
Detroit City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
Detroit City 1-2 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham Legion squeezed past Detroit City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Detroit City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Detroit City had 49% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 51%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.58 to 1.73.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Detroit City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Detroit City and 0.75 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion?
Detroit City 1-2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 41%, draw 27%, Birmingham Legion 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.