Rhode Island 3-0 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 23%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
0.46/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.59
-74% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.0 Crosses 12.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
3-0
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.76 xG 0.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
222 Passes 376
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 6
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island cruised past El Paso Locomotive 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 40% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 60%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.76 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs El Paso Locomotive?

Rhode Island 3-0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 42%, draw 29%, El Paso Locomotive 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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