Graffin Vlasim 1-2 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
2.20/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.69
+46% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Graffin Vlasim
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 2-4 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
04.11.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
11.03.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 3-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
21.08.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 3-1 HT 1-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
13.04.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
26.09.2021 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-3 HT 0-3 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Graffin Vlasim
1-2
AWAY Sparta Prag II
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Graffin Vlasim vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag II squeezed past Graffin Vlasim 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Graffin Vlasim at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Graffin Vlasim had 54% of the ball to Sparta Prag II's 46%, shots finished 22-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Graffin Vlasim and 1.83 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Graffin Vlasim vs Sparta Prag II?

Graffin Vlasim 1-2 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Graffin Vlasim vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Graffin Vlasim win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Graffin Vlasim 51%, draw 20%, Sparta Prag II 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Graffin Vlasim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Graffin Vlasim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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