Livingston 0-2 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.85
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
21%
5.44
X/2
9%
5.44
X/X
17%
4.2
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.86
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
36%
-8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.80/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.68
-33% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.22 xG 1.15
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
174 Passes 351
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.12.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
26.08.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-3 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
04.03.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-4 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
24.12.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 4-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
13.08.2022 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian beat Livingston 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Livingston and 2.17 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Hibernian?

Livingston 0-2 Hibernian in the Scotland - League Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Livingston 45%, draw 29%, Hibernian 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Livingston) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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