Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.13
Away
11%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
3.14
No
48%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
31%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
82%
-5.7pp
12%
Draw
12%
+0.6pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
28%
+24.5pp
48%
BTTS No
72%
-24.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 8%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.12/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.01/4.61
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / -35%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
483 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
22.01.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town IRLLSC
23.10.2021 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
08.08.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
29.05.2021 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
17.04.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
26.01.2019 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 2-0 Longford Town Longford Town HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-1
AWAY Longford Town
76% Ball Possession 24%
12 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers squeezed past Longford Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 76% of the ball to Longford Town's 24%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.50 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Longford Town?

Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 77%, draw 12%, Longford Town 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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