St Patricks 2-0 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.69
4-5 Goals
24%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
22.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.83
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.52
X/2
10%
7.31
X/X
10%
3.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
28.5
2/2
8%
5.93
2/X
7%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 14% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
46%
+9.5pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.99/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.02/1.00
+102% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
382 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
09.05.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
04.04.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
30.09.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-3 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-2 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
26.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
FAQ St Patricks vs Shelbourne
Match summary & frequently asked questions

St Patricks beat Shelbourne 2-0 in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 17 Aug 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St Patricks and 1.33 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Shelbourne?

St Patricks 2-0 Shelbourne in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 56%, draw 22%, Shelbourne 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ BTTS Yes
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