St Patricks 1-2 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.3
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
13%
5.22
X/2
13%
5.41
X/X
12%
3.6
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.18
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
0.77/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.85
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +105%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.8 Crosses 11.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.72 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
15.03.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.09.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.06.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
19.05.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
24.02.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
1-2
AWAY Shelbourne
0.77 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
400 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past St Patricks 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Shelbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Patricks had 59% of the ball to Shelbourne's 41%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.77 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St Patricks and 0.83 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Shelbourne?

St Patricks 1-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 36%, draw 28%, Shelbourne 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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