Shelbourne 1-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.31
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
16%
4.66
X/2
10%
5.95
X/X
17%
3.69
2/1
16%
33.5
2/2
13%
4.84
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.04/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.98
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
12.6 Crosses 16.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-0D-4L
AWAY St Patricks
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.09.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.06.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
19.05.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
24.02.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
06.11.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 4-0 HT 3-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-0
AWAY St Patricks
0.91 xG 0.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
315 Passes 388
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne nicked a narrow win over St Patricks 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shelbourne had 45% of the ball to St Patricks's 55%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.91 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shelbourne and 1.50 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs St Patricks?

Shelbourne 1-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 45%, draw 27%, St Patricks 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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