Dundalk 2-0 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.08
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
5.57
X/2
13%
5.27
X/X
9%
3.99
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
22%
3.76
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.93/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.89
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
243 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.8 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bohemians
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.57 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
234 Passes 237
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
27.10.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.07.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-2 HT 1-2 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
19.05.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-2 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
24.02.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
28.10.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 2-1 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
2-0
AWAY Bohemians
2.64 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
187 Passes 170
60% Pass Accuracy 57%
27 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk beat Bohemians 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dundalk had 51% of the ball to Bohemians's 49%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.64 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundalk and 1.50 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Dundalk 2-0 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 34%, draw 25%, Bohemians 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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