Waterford FC 0-2 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.56
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
8%
15.95
X/1
12%
7.7
X/2
15%
3.97
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.62
2/X
7%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 54%
+12% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.93/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.89
+41% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.8 Crosses 18.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Derry City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.28 xG 2.37
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.03.2024 Derry City Derry City 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
02.07.2021 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.04.2021 Derry City Derry City 1-2 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.10.2020 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
06.03.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
0-2
AWAY Derry City
1.00 xG 2.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
211 Passes 278
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City saw off Waterford FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 45% of the ball to Derry City's 55%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.00 to 2.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waterford FC and 1.83 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Derry City?

Waterford FC 0-2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 26%, draw 27%, Derry City 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
26 Apr 2024
21:45 Dundalk vs Bohemians Analysis →
21:45 Shelbourne vs St Patricks Analysis →
21:45 Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
22:00 Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United Analysis →