Shelbourne 2-3 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.39
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.02
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.3
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
9%
5.46
X/2
8%
4.91
X/X
10%
3.87
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.71
2/X
10%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
0.92/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.87
+1% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
13.7 Crosses 17.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
4W-0D-2L
AWAY St Patricks
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-2 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
26.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
15.03.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.09.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.06.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
19.05.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
2-3
AWAY St Patricks
1.15 xG 1.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
478 Passes 317
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks nicked a narrow win over Shelbourne 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Shelbourne at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 59% of the ball to St Patricks's 41%, shots finished 17-20, expected goals 1.15 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shelbourne and 0.83 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs St Patricks?

Shelbourne 2-3 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 41%, draw 28%, St Patricks 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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