Cadiz 1-0 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.45
X/1
15%
3.77
X/2
9%
10.95
X/X
9%
4.64
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
11%
9.98
2/X
7%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.49/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.33
+13% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
25.2 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mirandes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
270 Passes 307
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2025 Cadiz Cadiz 3-1 HT 2-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
09.11.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 2-2 HT 1-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
15.01.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 3-3 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
24.08.2019 Mirandes Mirandes 1-2 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
04.02.2017 Cadiz Cadiz 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.09.2016 Mirandes Mirandes 3-2 HT 0-2 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
1-0
AWAY Mirandes
1.63 xG 0.01
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
472 Passes 145
87% Pass Accuracy 64%
38 Box Touches 1
45 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz nicked a narrow win over Mirandes 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cadiz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cadiz had 72% of the ball to Mirandes's 28%, shots finished 24-1, expected goals 1.63 to 0.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cadiz's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cadiz and 1.83 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Mirandes?

Cadiz 1-0 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 50%, draw 25%, Mirandes 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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