Mirandes 2-2 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.37
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
8%
5.84
X/2
10%
5.33
X/X
12%
3.09
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.05
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.62 — our 23% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
34%
-5.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.21/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.36
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.5 Crosses 21.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Cadiz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.98 xG 1.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.01.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 3-3 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
24.08.2019 Mirandes Mirandes 1-2 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
04.02.2017 Cadiz Cadiz 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.09.2016 Mirandes Mirandes 3-2 HT 0-2 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
2-2
AWAY Cadiz
1.32 xG 0.34
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
205 Passes 384
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes and Cadiz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirandes had 39% of the ball to Cadiz's 61%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.32 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cadiz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mirandes and 2.25 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Cadiz?

Mirandes 2-2 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 38%, draw 29%, Cadiz 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mirandes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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