Malaga vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malaga v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Malaga vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
2-1
HT 0-0
Malaga
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Cartagena
İS2
3-1
HT 1-0
Malaga
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Malaga
İS2
1-2
HT 1-1
Cartagena
İS2
Malaga 1-0 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Malaga nicked a narrow win over Cartagena 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Malaga as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Malaga had 73% of the ball to Cartagena's 27%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.54 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Malaga's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malaga and 1.50 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Malaga vs Cartagena?
Malaga 1-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malaga vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Malaga 46%, draw 30%, Cartagena 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.