Granada 3-2 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.83
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
22%
4.07
X/2
9%
8.39
X/X
12%
4.61
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.65
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.26
+29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.3 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
3-2
AWAY Eldense
1.65 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
296 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Granada vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada nicked a narrow win over Eldense 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Granada as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Granada had 48% of the ball to Eldense's 52%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.65 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Granada vs Eldense?

Granada 3-2 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Granada 52%, draw 26%, Eldense 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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