Breitenrain 1-0 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
62%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
62%
Away Win
67%
-4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breitenrain EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 71%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.82/0.37
-100% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +110%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
224 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breitenrain
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Thun
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
20.01.2018 Thun Thun 3-0 HT 1-0 Breitenrain HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breitenrain
1-0
AWAY Thun
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Breitenrain vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breitenrain edged past Thun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Thun carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Breitenrain had 42% of the ball to Thun's 58%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Breitenrain vs Thun?

Breitenrain 1-0 Thun in the Switzerland - Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breitenrain vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Breitenrain 14%, draw 23%, Thun 62%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ BTTS No
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