Cham 3-2 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 17 Aug 2025

Cham
3-2 HT 1-1
Lugano
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Switzerland - Cup – 2025/2026

Cham vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
67%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.6pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.6pp
67%
Away Win
75%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cham v Lugano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cham EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 80%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.00/4.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/0.86
-100% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
217 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 535 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Cham 3-2 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cham
3-2
AWAY Lugano
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cham vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cham nicked a narrow win over Lugano 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Lugano carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cham had 36% of the ball to Lugano's 64%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Cham vs Lugano?

Cham 3-2 Lugano in the Switzerland - Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cham vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Cham 17%, draw 16%, Lugano 67%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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