Hércules 2-5 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.8pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hércules EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
POST-MATCH Hércules vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza swept aside Hércules 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hércules vs Alianza?

Hércules 2-5 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hércules vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hércules 21%, draw 33%, Alianza 46%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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