Luis Angel Firpo 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.62/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.54
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
11.05.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.05.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
04.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
02.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo cruised past Fuerte San Francisco 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Luis Angel Firpo 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 67%, draw 22%, Fuerte San Francisco 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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