Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
14%
Away Win
17%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.9pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.54/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.67
-13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 6
04.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
02.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
28.03.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.01.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
30.10.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
04.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 3-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.00 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 61%, draw 25%, Fuerte San Francisco 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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