Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.73/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.28
+7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 6
28.03.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.01.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
30.10.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
04.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 3-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.00 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 53%, draw 22%, Fuerte San Francisco 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Over 2.5
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