Once Deportivo 1-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.26/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.31
-13% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dragon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.05.2024 Dragon Dragon 3-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
07.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
27.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-3 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
02.10.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-3 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
30.03.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
02.02.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Deportivo edged past Dragon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Once Deportivo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dragon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Once Deportivo and 1.50 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Dragon?

Once Deportivo 1-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 46%, draw 30%, Dragon 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Deportivo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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