Dragon 3-1 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.0pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +18%
1.45/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.97
+16% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
27.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-3 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
02.10.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-3 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
30.03.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
02.02.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon beat Once Deportivo 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Once Deportivo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dragon had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dragon and 1.00 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Once Deportivo?

Dragon 3-1 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dragon 31%, draw 26%, Once Deportivo 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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