Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.82
Over 2.5
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.7pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+10.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-7.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+7.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.2pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
0.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.31
-48% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
23.10.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
29.08.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Municipal Limeno made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.67 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 37%, draw 22%, Municipal Limeno 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Limeno), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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