Municipal Limeno 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 27%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.66/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.13
+18% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.10.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
29.08.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno swept aside Fuerte San Francisco 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal Limeno as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal Limeno and 2.00 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Municipal Limeno 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 48%, draw 29%, Fuerte San Francisco 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Limeno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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