Luis Angel Firpo 4-1 Jocoro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Jocoro EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.33/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.23
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jocoro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 1-1 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
01.12.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 1-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
16.10.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
20.08.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 2-4 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
13.04.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 0-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
05.02.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 1-1 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Jocoro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo swept aside Jocoro 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.00 for Jocoro.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Jocoro?

Luis Angel Firpo 4-1 Jocoro in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Jocoro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 49%, draw 23%, Jocoro 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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