FAS 0-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Mar 2024

FAS
0-1 HT 0-1
Alianza
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

FAS vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
27%
2.61
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.45
Over 2.5
25%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.03
No
67%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
35%
-8.3pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.0pp
75%
Under 2.5
65%
+10.1pp
25%
Over 2.5
35%
-10.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
45%
-11.8pp
67%
BTTS No
55%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FAS v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.12/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.99
-5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

FAS vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alianza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 5-3 HT 5-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
21.05.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
18.05.2023 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
04.05.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
05.03.2023 FAS FAS 0-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past FAS 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Alianza found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FAS and 1.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of FAS vs Alianza?

FAS 0-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FAS 35%, draw 27%, Alianza 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
7 Mar 2024
00:00 Aguila vs Platense Analysis →
00:15 Luis Angel Firpo vs Jocoro Analysis →
00:30 Once Deportivo vs Dragon Analysis →
04:30 Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco Analysis →