Aguila 0-2 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +2%
1.92/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.44
+25% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Platense
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 4-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
16.09.2023 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
20.03.2023 Platense Platense 0-3 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
28.04.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.02.2022 Aguila Aguila 2-2 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
18.11.2021 Platense Platense 3-2 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense got the better of Aguila 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aguila and 1.17 for Platense.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Platense?

Aguila 0-2 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aguila 50%, draw 26%, Platense 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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