Santa Tecla 0-4 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
27%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 58%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
15.10.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 2-3 HT 2-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
20.08.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
01.05.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
05.03.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 4-2 HT 2-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
16.10.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 4-1 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan ran out comfortable winners over Santa Tecla 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Tecla had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Santa Tecla and 1.33 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs Isidro Metapan?

Santa Tecla 0-4 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 26%, draw 29%, Isidro Metapan 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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