Dragon 4-0 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
0.91/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.09
-25% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
04.11.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
02.09.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
02.05.2024 Dragon Dragon 3-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
07.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
27.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-3 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
02.10.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-3 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon ran out comfortable winners over Once Deportivo 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Once Deportivo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Deportivo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dragon and 1.33 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Once Deportivo?

Dragon 4-0 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dragon 30%, draw 29%, Once Deportivo 41%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Once Deportivo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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